Forecasting the Impact of Climate Change on Dengue Transmission

Project dates: 2018-04-01 00:00:00 - 2022-03-31 00:00:00

Dengue fever (DF) has been recognised as the most important arboviral disease in the world. Nearly 1.8 billion people are estimated to be at risk of this disease. The large-scale re-emergence of DF during the past few decades has renewed the status of DF as a serious international public health problem, especially in tropical and subtropical areas in the Asia-Pacific region. Global mean temperature is projected to increase between 1.1 ? 6.4 oC by the end of this century relative to 1980-1999. The changes in global temperature and precipitation that are anticipated under current climate change scenarios will affect the biology and ecology of vectors and consequently the risk of DF transmission. The rapid spread of DF in the Asia-Pacific region is also attributed to globalization, rapid, unplanned and unregulated urban development, poor water storage and unsatisfactory sanitary conditions. Spatiotemporal models have long played a key role Text truncated. Refer to submitted Application

Funding / Grants

  • National Health and Medical Research Council

Team


Dr Francesca Frentiu, arbovirus transmission researcher